Direction, grade, opportunity, risk and coverage in roughly 30 seconds.
PERMANENT COUNTRY REPORTWP-LBY · LBY
SOVEREIGN COUNTRY
Libya
WORLD PREDICTA IDWP-LBY
ISO / UN CODESLY · LBY · 434
REGIONMiddle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan
CAPITALTripoli
CURRENCYLYD
LANGUAGESArabic
TIME ZONESAfrica/Tripoli
REGISTRY VERIFIEDSep 14, 2026
Classification and identifiers are registry facts. Direction ratings below are model inferences. Missing fields stay visibly unverified.
Plain-English economy, household, global role and evidence gaps.
Expandable category grades, source years, direction model and investment pathways.
WHOLE-COUNTRY INTELLIGENCE
One report card. Every country. No hidden grades.
Choose an economy or territory to see its evidence, household conditions and investable themes. An em dash means the evidence is still being built—never that missing data equals zero.
217WORLD BANK PROFILES218 WorldPredicta entities including Holy See
Keep this research
Share, copy or print it. Nothing happens until you choose an action, and WorldPredicta does not track these actions.
OFFICIAL DATA SNAPSHOT READYServed from the latest protected country-data collection. 25/25 requests attempted · 25/25 series returned usable cross-country data
LBY · Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & PakistanPartial coverage now
Libya
Capital: Tripoli. Upper middle income. Population 7.5M; 87.9% urban.
CURRENT DATA COVERAGE60%
76% historical coverage. Historical only: electricity 0.8 (2012); mineralRents 0 (2021); fdi 1.8 (2023); renewableEnergy 3.1 (2021). These readings remain visible but do not affect current grades or directions.COUNTRY RESILIENCE—Withheld: current core evidence incomplete
MACRO OPPORTUNITY ALIGNMENT—Withheld: current core evidence incomplete
REQUESTS ATTEMPTED25/25All declared indicator requests were attempted
SERIES RETURNED DATA25/25Usable cross-country series, not country coverage
VALUES RETURNED FOR LBY19/25Historical values available; future-dated values excluded
CURRENT ENOUGH FOR MODEL15/2560% current model coverage
THE COUNTRY BRIEF
60% current · 76% historical coverageLibya: what matters, why it matters, and what could change
BOTTOM LINE
With 7.5M people, national outcomes may depend more on specialization, productivity and external demand than sheer scale. WorldPredicta withholds the current resilience grade because required recent evidence is missing or stale. Historical coverage is 76%, while 60% is current enough to enter the model.
CURRENT COUNTRY SIGNALS
What is being reported about Libya now
Reporting is context, not proof. Each item keeps its source, date and corroboration count.
Checking the latest direct-source newsroom…
Is the economy creating durable income?
Growth of 13.4% points to rapid expansion; the question is whether infrastructure, prices and jobs can keep up. Inflation of 1.8% is comparatively contained, which supports planning and purchasing power if wages remain healthy. Unemployment of 18.8% means national output is not translating into enough work for a large part of the labor force. GDP per person is 6.4K USD; that average does not show inequality or regional differences.
Is national progress reaching households?
82.0% of people use the internet, which shapes access to services, finance, education and digital business. Rural electricity access is not available. Life expectancy is 71.1 years, a broad outcome influenced by income, care access, safety and public capacity. Basic sanitation reaches 88.5% of people, secondary enrollment is No recent reading, severe food insecurity is 17.2%, and social-protection programs reach No recent reading. Different survey years mean these are structural conditions, not a real-time pulse. Urbanization is 87.9%. These indicators describe access and outcomes, but not housing costs, wages or service quality.
How does the outside world affect this country?
Trade equals 137.7% of GDP, making global demand, currencies and shipping routes unusually important to domestic outcomes. Comparable mineral-rent exposure is missing. Foreign direct-investment data is missing. Above-baseline growth plus broad internet access can support consumer platforms, finance, communications and productivity investment.
The blind spots that could change the story
The comparable file still lacks country-normalized wages, hours, housing costs, benefit adequacy, education quality, current politics, security, corruption, cultural momentum, rail and road activity, and complete historical climate exposure. Those are not minor footnotes: they can reverse an investment thesis or explain why headline growth does not reach households.
WHAT THIS COULD MEAN FOR YOU
Each signal is translated into consequences for money, work, daily life and future opportunity instead of being left as a number.
Can the economy create more income?
Growth of 13.4% points to rapid expansion; the question is whether infrastructure, prices and jobs can keep up.
Can people keep their purchasing power?
Inflation of 1.8% is comparatively contained, which supports planning and purchasing power if wages remain healthy. Unemployment of 18.8% means national output is not translating into enough work for a large part of the labor force.
How easily can the world move this country?
Trade equals 137.7% of GDP, making global demand, currencies and shipping routes unusually important to domestic outcomes.
Where the broad opportunity may sit
Comparable mineral-rent exposure is missing. Foreign direct-investment data is missing.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The four signals most likely to change the story
If prices outpace wages while joblessness rises, household stress can spread into credit, politics and consumer demand.
Export orders, import costs and capital flows can change growth and currency pressure faster than annual statistics.
Access without reliability, affordability or capacity can turn strong demand into inflation and stalled projects.
Food security and assistance coverage show whether headline success is felt at home; wages, housing costs and benefit adequacy remain important gaps.
COUNTRY DIRECTION ENGINE · BASELINE RELEASE
LOW OVERALL CONFIDENCEWhere the evidence says this country may be heading
These are model inferences with explicit horizons and reversal conditions. They are not observed facts, promises, or sovereign ratings.
EconomicNext 12 months
ImprovingLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now- Current real growth is 13.4%.
- Current headline inflation is 1.8%.
- The current file covers 60% of selected indicators; historical coverage is 76%.
WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITA major demand, commodity, currency or policy shock could reverse the current baseline.
Household financesNext 12 months
WeakeningLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now- Current inflation is 1.8%.
- Current unemployment is 18.8%.
- Current severe food insecurity is 17.2%.
WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITWages, housing, utilities and benefit adequacy are not yet normalized and could materially change the conclusion.
EmploymentNext 12 months
WeakeningLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now- Current unemployment is 18.8%.
- Current labor-force participation is 48.0%.
- Current youth outside work or education is No recent reading.
WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITA hiring, wage or hours-worked release could change this direction before headline unemployment moves.
InfrastructureNext 3 years
Insufficient evidenceLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now- Withheld because required current evidence is missing or stale: electricity is from 2012 (14 years old; maximum 4).
WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITProject finance, execution delays, outages or fiscal pressure could slow improvement.
TechnologyNext 3 years
Insufficient evidenceLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now- Withheld because required current evidence is missing or stale: electricity is from 2012 (14 years old; maximum 4).
WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITAffordability, censorship, weak power reliability or capital shortages could reverse digital gains.
HealthNext 3 years
MixedLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now- Current life expectancy is 71.1 years.
- Current under-five mortality is 9.8 per 1,000.
- Hospital capacity and workforce data are still missing.
WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITAn outbreak, conflict, funding cut or care-capacity shock could change the outlook.
Climate transitionNext 5 to 10 years
Insufficient evidenceLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now- Withheld because required current evidence is missing or stale: renewableEnergy is from 2021 (5 years old; maximum 4).
WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITPolicy changes, grid constraints, climate disasters or fossil-fuel investment could change the transition path.
InvestmentNext 3 years
Insufficient evidenceLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now- Domestic growth and digital services
- Above-baseline growth plus broad internet access can support consumer platforms, finance, communications and productivity investment.
- Foreign direct investment is No recent reading of GDP.
WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITValuation, currency, sanctions, ownership rules, liquidity and legal access can outweigh the macro theme.
Political + securityNext 3 months
Insufficient evidenceLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now- Comparable current politics, election, protest, conflict and security feeds are not yet normalized.
- No political direction is inferred from GDP or market data.
- The missing rating is deliberate.
WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITA verified political and security source stack is required before this category can receive a direction.
INVESTMENT ACCESS MAP
How an investor could research exposure to Libya
Economic outlook, investability and market access are separate. A strong economy can still be expensive, illiquid or legally difficult to access.
OVERALL INVESTABILITYNOT RATED
Not rated until legal access, liquidity, custody, convertibility, repatriation and political risk are verified.
LEGAL FOREIGN ACCESSNot verified for an investor starting in United StatesTruthful gap · do not infer access
PRACTICAL RETAIL ACCESSLimited; no broad-market research vehicle is verifiedTruthful gap · do not infer access
VERIFIED INVESTMENT VEHICLENone verified for tradingTruthful gap · do not infer access
LIQUIDITYNot verifiedTruthful gap · do not infer access
CUSTODY AVAILABILITYNot verifiedTruthful gap · do not infer access
CURRENCY CONVERTIBILITYNot verifiedTruthful gap · do not infer access
CAPITAL REPATRIATIONNot verifiedTruthful gap · do not infer access
POLITICAL AND REGULATORY RISKNot ratedTruthful gap · do not infer access
DATA CONFIDENCELow; 60% of selected indicators are current enoughTruthful gap · do not infer access
No simple broad-market vehicle verified
Research the local exchange, broad index, foreign-ownership rules, custody, settlement and liquidity. WorldPredicta will not invent a ticker.
Requires instrument-level verification
Sovereign bonds, hard-currency debt and foreign exchange can create exposure, but minimum sizes, withholding tax, duration, convertibility and broker access are not yet normalized here.
Domestic growth and digital services
Above-baseline growth plus broad internet access can support consumer platforms, finance, communications and productivity investment. Licensing, local partners, ownership limits, labor rules and repatriation must be checked with official investment and regulatory bodies.
Suppliers, customers and regional funds
Companies or funds outside Libya may receive revenue from its demand, trade or resource cycle. Revenue geography and valuation still need company-level research.
No pathway verified yet
Title, residency, financing, tax, disclosure, exit liquidity and foreign-buyer rules vary sharply. This path stays unranked until official and transaction-level evidence is available.
CURRENCY
Exchange-rate moves can erase local returns. Hedging cost and convertibility are not yet scored.
LAW + OWNERSHIP
Foreign ownership, licensing, taxation, custody and capital-repatriation rules require current local verification.
LIQUIDITY
A quoted asset may still be difficult or expensive to enter and exit. Volume and market depth are not yet normalized.
SANCTIONS
No live sanctions clearance has been performed. Check the current rules for every investor, security, bank and counterparty.
Educational research only. This is not personalized investment, tax or legal advice, a recommendation to trade, or a promise of returns.
Economic momentumANNUAL · CURRENT ENOUGH
BLatest available growth is 13.4%; latest available inflation is 1.8%; latest available income per person is 6.4K USD.
WHY IT MATTERS
Growth builds income; inflation can erase it.
WHO FEELS IT
Workers, firms and government.
WATCH NEXT
Real growth, orders and demand.
Work & jobsPARTIAL COVERAGE
FLatest available unemployment is 18.8%, labor-force participation is 48.0%, and No recent reading of young people are outside work, education or training.
WHY IT MATTERS
Jobs connect growth to household security.
WHO FEELS IT
Workers and young people.
WATCH NEXT
Hiring, hours, wages and participation.
Price stabilityANNUAL · CURRENT ENOUGH
ALatest available inflation is 1.8%. The grade rewards stability near 2–3%, not simply the lowest possible number.
WHY IT MATTERS
Inflation cuts purchasing power.
WHO FEELS IT
Renters, borrowers and importers.
WATCH NEXT
Food, housing, fuel and wages.
Digital accessANNUAL · CURRENT ENOUGH
B82.0% of people use the internet in an annual structural indicator current enough for this model.
WHY IT MATTERS
Connectivity expands access and productivity.
WHO FEELS IT
Students, firms and rural areas.
WATCH NEXT
Cost, speed, payments and access gaps.
Basic infrastructurePARTIAL COVERAGE
BNo recent reading of the rural population has electricity, 88.5% has basic sanitation, digital access is 82.0%, and transport is represented by a structural passenger-rate measure. The grade is capped below A because power reliability and water access are missing.
WHY IT MATTERS
Power and services keep homes and industry working.
WHO FEELS IT
Households, industry and utilities.
WATCH NEXT
Outages, capacity and investment.
Trade & logistics exposureANNUAL · CURRENT ENOUGH
ALatest available imports plus exports equal 137.7% of GDP. A high grade means globally connected—not automatically safer.
WHY IT MATTERS
Trade adds demand and route exposure.
WHO FEELS IT
Exporters, importers and consumers.
WATCH NEXT
Orders, costs, routes and currencies.
OFFICIAL STATUS + AGGREGATE MOVEMENT
Rules and people in Libya
This section separates legal jurisdiction from possible effects, and movement measurements from individual travel. A proposal is not law; an application is not an arrival; a stock is not a flow.
No current action in connected sources
This jurisdiction is not yet covered by a dedicated official-law adapter. The gap is shown instead of being filled from headlines.
6 measured signals
Libya → Germany · 1,319 asylum application · 2025
Applications lodged are not verified arrivals, approvals or a live count of people in transit.
Sudan → Libya · 978 asylum application · 2025
Applications lodged are not verified arrivals, approvals or a live count of people in transit.
Libya → United Kingdom · 868 asylum application · 2025
Applications lodged are not verified arrivals, approvals or a live count of people in transit.
Eritrea → Libya · 68 asylum application · 2025
Applications lodged are not verified arrivals, approvals or a live count of people in transit.
REFUGEE NOWCAST · 566,659 people · July 2026
UNHCR nowcasting is a modeled destination-country stock estimate. Origin is unknown here; it is not a live arrival flow.
NET MIGRATION · -172 people · 2025
Net migration is the balance of inflows and outflows. It does not identify an origin, destination corridor or people moving now.