A source measurement with its own date, geography and limitations.
DATA + MODEL STATUS
Know what is fresh, what is modeled, and what is still missing.
This page describes the public evidence contract. A green-looking interface never turns an old observation into current data or an incomplete source into a confident rating.
CURRENT FOUNDATIONWorldPredicta Household Intelligence 4.0
WP-REGISTRY-1.0 · WP-DIRECTION-0.2
A published statistical estimate, nowcast or source-derived aggregation.
A WorldPredicta inference with horizon, confidence, evidence and reversal conditions.
Shown as unavailable or unrated. Missing evidence never becomes a zero.
ACTUAL OPERATING HEALTH
What is responding right now
Checking live connectors and cached fallbacks…
Checking connector healthThis can take several seconds because each source has its own timeout.
“Online” means the connector returned a current observation during this check. It does not mean complete global coverage. “Ready” means the connector is configured or intentionally waiting for licensed access.
DURABLE EVIDENCE LEDGER
What the machine actually received
Each retrieval stores the source, status, observation time, record count and coverage. This is the beginning of reproducible model history—not a screenshot of the current page.
Reading the latest durable source receipts…
SOURCE REGISTRY
Coverage and freshness rules
“Stale after” is a product display threshold, not a claim that every underlying dataset updates on that schedule.
Multilingual global newsNear real time
World News API + Direct Source Network
Protected collection combines World News API discovery with ten link-only publisher and institution feeds, then publishes a quality-gated last-good newsroom payload to D1. Public newsroom reads do not call publishers or aggregators.
- Treatment
- Measured
- Cadence
- Protected hourly collection window; public reads use the latest D1 payload and retain original publication times and source links
- Stale after
- 90 minutes for the published payload; every headline retains its own publication time
- Coverage
- Live snapshot varies. The direct network spans the UN, WHO and publishers based in Europe, the Middle East, Asia-Pacific and the Americas.
Country identity and developmentStructural
World Bank
Protected collection publishes a quality-gated global country payload to D1. Public reports and comparisons derive from that last-good payload with indicator-specific age gates.
- Treatment
- Metadata
- Cadence
- Protected six-hour country collection window; indicator publication cadence still varies by series
- Stale after
- 7 days for the published country payload; series-specific age gates for indicators
- Coverage
- 217 World Bank comparable profiles; 218 WorldPredicta entities after adding the separately maintained Holy See
Prices, economy and trade flowsWeekly
International Monetary Fund
Protected regional operations collection reads the latest headline-inflation and strategic-flow releases and includes them in quality-gated D1 operations payloads.
- Treatment
- Estimated
- Cadence
- Rotating protected operations collection; underlying economic releases are monthly and chokepoint releases are weekly
- Stale after
- 14 days for flow data; 60 days for monthly economic releases
- Coverage
- Countries and strategic passages supported by each IMF dataset
Aircraft movementNear real time
OpenSky, Airplanes.live, PocketWorld and licensed ADS-B sources
The public aircraft endpoint is the explicit direct-read exception: it requests current regional observations behind a short shared cache. Protected operations runs also publish regional aircraft snapshots, but stale moving positions are withheld.
- Treatment
- Measured
- Cadence
- Direct public reads use 10–30-second shared source caches; protected operations snapshots rotate regions on the ingestion cadence
- Stale after
- 15 minutes
- Coverage
- Variable by geography, receiver density, altitude, licensing and source availability
Marine movementWeekly
BarentsWatch AIS + IMF PortWatch
Protected operations collection publishes licensed regional AIS tracks when configured and aggregate route-flow baselines otherwise. Public operations reads use the D1 last-good payload and withhold stale individual positions.
- Treatment
- Estimated
- Cadence
- Protected rotating operations collection; live AIS when configured and weekly aggregate chokepoint releases
- Stale after
- 15 minutes for live tracks; 14 days for aggregate flows
- Coverage
- Live vessel tracks are geographically restricted; strategic passage coverage is broader but aggregated
Natural hazardsNear real time
NASA EONET, USGS and GDACS
Protected operations collection records open Earth events, significant earthquakes and higher-severity disaster alerts in regional D1 last-good payloads.
- Treatment
- Measured
- Cadence
- Protected rotating operations collection; public reads do not poll hazard providers
- Stale after
- 60 minutes
- Coverage
- Global where source events are geolocated
Weather and heat contextNear real time
Open-Meteo
Protected operations collection stores current conditions and recent baselines for selected strategic locations in regional D1 last-good payloads.
- Treatment
- Modeled
- Cadence
- Protected rotating operations collection over hourly source data
- Stale after
- 6 hours
- Coverage
- Selected locations; not yet a national crop, drought, flood or climate-risk model
Culture and public attentionDaily
Wikipedia, Hacker News, Mastodon and Reddit when authorized
Protected collection turns public curiosity, technology conversation and social-attention observations into a quality-gated D1 last-good payload. Public culture reads do not call platforms.
- Treatment
- Measured
- Cadence
- Protected hourly culture collection window; source observations range from near real time to daily
- Stale after
- 90 minutes for the published payload; every observation retains its own source time
- Coverage
- Platform and language specific; Reddit remains unavailable unless authorized credentials are configured
PUBLIC DATA LAYER
Machine-readable endpoints
Version-one endpoints are public read-only JSON. Breaking schema changes will use a new version path.
/api/aircraft?region=europeExplicit direct-read exception for near-real-time regional aircraft positions, with a short shared cache and coverage stateJSON ↗/api/operations?region=europeLatest D1-published regional operations payload for hazards, heat, prices, shipping and collection-time movement; stale moving positions are withheldJSON ↗/api/v1/askEvidence-grounded question answering with supporting evidence, conflicts, confidence and data gapsJSON ↗/api/v1/briefingFive-minute world briefing across measured changes, news, culture, markets and forecastsJSON ↗/api/v1/changesDeltas between the newest durable evidence snapshots for every connected sourceJSON ↗/api/v1/compare?countries=united-states,bahrainSource-period-aware comparison of two to four countriesJSON ↗/api/v1/rankings?metric=growthTransparent single-indicator country rankings with exact source periods and limitationsJSON ↗/api/v1/countriesGlobal entity registry and classification coverage; indicator-backed views read the protected D1 country payloadJSON ↗/api/v1/countries/united-statesEntity record plus a structured intelligence report derived from the latest D1-published country payloadJSON ↗/api/v1/countries/bahrain/reportFull country summary, directions, outlooks, risks, opportunities and evidenceJSON ↗/api/v1/countries/bahrain/indicatorsExact country indicator values, observation periods, units and sourcesJSON ↗/api/v1/countries/bahrain/investmentCountry investment-access research pathways and restrictions to verifyJSON ↗/api/v1/countries/bahrain/forecastsExplicit country forecast links or an honest empty stateJSON ↗/api/v1/newsLatest D1-published multilingual headline payload, provider status and explicit delayed-snapshot stateJSON ↗/api/v1/marketsLatest D1-published world-signal ticker alignment with component scores and missing-input disclosureJSON ↗/api/v1/historyDurable evidence snapshots by source, retrieval time, record count and coverageJSON ↗/api/v1/ingestPublic read-only health plus a secret-protected collector POST that writes durable family payloads and run receiptsJSON ↗/api/v1/monitoringMeasured 24-hour ingestion freshness, completion, cadence-gap and duration objectivesJSON ↗/api/v1/correctionsRate-limited durable correction receipts for source, timestamp, geography and methodology errorsJSON ↗/api/v1/launch-readinessMachine-readable public, paid and commercial launch gatesJSON ↗/api/v1/source-rightsSource-by-source operational commercial-rights controls and paid-use gatesJSON ↗/api/v1/forecastsPublished forecasts, probabilities, evidence and resolution rulesJSON ↗/api/v1/forecast-scienceReproducible priors, exact point-in-time inputs, evidence weights, quality gates and durable model-run historyJSON ↗/api/v1/statusSource registry, freshness policy, model versions and API catalogJSON ↗VETTED EXPANSION QUEUE
What enters the machine next—and what does not
A GitHub repository can be a wrapper, a catalog, a crawler or an archived mirror. Only authoritative, licensable observations become model evidence.
Orama
In-process full-text retrieval for Ask Predicta evidenceUsed for bounded BM25 retrieval across current WorldPredicta evidence. It does not generate answers or replace source citations.
Open source decision ↗World Monitor
Reference architecture for multi-source world monitoringThe project is AGPL-3.0. WorldPredicta does not copy or bundle its code into the commercial product; any future integration requires license compliance or separate terms.
Open source decision ↗FAOSTAT API
Crop yields, fertilizer, land use, food balances and agricultural productionUse the official 2026 API and retain area, item, element, year and source metadata.
Open source decision ↗OWID Chart API
Energy mix, emissions and climate indicatorsThe old owid-datasets repository is archived. Use current chart exports only after checking each original provider's license.
Open source decision ↗IMF World Economic Outlook
Debt, inflation, unemployment, current accounts, fiscal indicators and five-year projectionsUse the official IMF Data Portal SDMX/API and preserve whether each value is observed or projected.
Open source decision ↗V-Dem v16
Institutions, media freedom, polarization and democratic directionAnnual modeled and expert-coded indicators need uncertainty-aware interpretation; they are not a real-time political feed.
Open source decision ↗GDELT 2.0 Events
Optional research-grade event records and CAMEO activity codesNo longer a page-request dependency. Any future use belongs in an offline research pipeline with duplicate, geography and source-volume bias controls.
Open source decision ↗ACLED
Disaggregated conflict and political-violence eventsDo not ingest or commercially redistribute until the product's use is covered by an ACLED license.
Open source decision ↗FinanceDatabase
Country, exchange, equity, ETF, fund, currency and index discoveryUseful for finding possible market-access vehicles; explicitly not a live price or fundamentals source.
Open source decision ↗Scrapy + Crawl4AI
Authorized collection and structured extraction from permitted websitesThese are crawling frameworks, not evidence sources. Run them in a governed worker pipeline with robots, terms, rate limits and provenance checks.
Open source decision ↗Maritime_Vessel_Tracking + AISStream
Persistent AIS collection, MMSI history, congestion analysis, geofences and voyage replayThe open-source project is a reference architecture, not a vessel feed. A separately hosted persistent collector and licensed AIS key are required before global individual tracks can be sold.
Open source decision ↗PUBLIC GOVERNANCE
Rules, corrections and launch gates
The public research product does not imply that a paid product has passed licensing, identity, billing or validation gates.
Research policySource hierarchy, neutrality, translation and forecast disciplineOPEN →Corrections deskDurable, rate-limited correction receiptsOPEN →Launch readinessPass, limited and blocked commercialization gatesOPEN →PrivacyData footprint, local preferences and network security processingOPEN →TermsResearch use, risks and prohibited conductOPEN →