A source measurement with its own date, geography and limitations.
DATA + MODEL STATUS
Know what is fresh, what is modeled, and what is still missing.
This page describes the public evidence contract. A green-looking interface never turns an old observation into current data or an incomplete source into a confident rating.
CURRENT FOUNDATIONWorldPredicta Household Intelligence 4.0
WP-REGISTRY-1.0 · WP-DIRECTION-0.2
A published statistical estimate, nowcast or source-derived aggregation.
A WorldPredicta inference with horizon, confidence, evidence and reversal conditions.
Shown as unavailable or unrated. Missing evidence never becomes a zero.
ACTUAL OPERATING HEALTH
What the operating evidence actually says
Server-verified at Sep 14, 3:55 AM EDT
Connector health check complete. 23 results are available.
CONNECTORSTATUSLAST SUCCESSAGERECORDSCOVERAGE / CADENCE
Published snapshot storeAtomic manifest and family freshness canary
DelayedSep 14, 3:32 AM EDT23 min8/11D1 migration ready8 required snapshots are inside their declared freshness windows.
Ingestion service levelsMeasured operations objectives
DelayedSep 14, 3:32 AM EDT23 min12424-hour windowCore capability: 18.5% · Runs completed: 100% · fully successful: 0% · partially successful: 100% · failed: 0% · maximum gap: 166.9 minutes · degraded
Ingestion cadenceAutonomous collection
DelayedSep 14, 3:32 AM EDT23 min4815-minute target: hosting cron when available, otherwise one traffic-assisted lease per intervalLatest run: partial · trigger: traffic-assisted · east-asia · 2 families returned usable data
ADS-B ExchangeEnhanced aircraft
ReadyNot availableNo verified success—500ms network refreshEnhanced licensed coverage is not active in this public view
Airplanes.liveCommunity aircraft detail
OfflineNot availableNo verified success0Three-minute quota-aware point fallback, used only when broad providers fail0 aircraft in the selected 250 nautical-mile detail window
PocketWorldGlobal community aircraft fallback
DelayedSep 14, 2:48 AM EDT1 hr99430-second cached global aggregation994 aircraft in the selected region The source observation is outside its 5-minute freshness boundary.
OpenSkyAircraft fallback
OfflineNot availableNo verified success0Recent state vectors0 aircraft in selected window
NASA EONETEarth observation
DelayedSep 13, 8:00 PM EDT7 hr80Open-event feed80 geolocated open events The source observation is outside its 60-minute freshness boundary.
USGSEarthquakes
DelayedSep 13, 10:56 PM EDT4 hr10Daily M4.5+ feed10 significant events in 24h The source observation is outside its 60-minute freshness boundary.
GDACSDisaster alerts
DelayedSep 14, 2:45 AM EDT1 hr4Orange/red alerts4 higher-severity alerts in 7d The source observation is outside its 60-minute freshness boundary.
UCDP Candidate EventsMonthly preliminary organized-violence data
DelayedJun 30, 7:59 PM EDT75 days189Monthly candidate release189 normalized candidate groupings in June 2026 monthly candidate data; preliminary, monthly, not live and not an active-war list The source observation is outside its 108,000-minute freshness boundary.
Open-MeteoTemperature
OfflineNot availableNo verified success0Current + 30d baseline0 strategic heat zones
IMF Data APICountry economics
OfflineNot availableNo verified success0Monthly national releases0 headline-inflation readings
IMF PortWatchShipping flows
OnlineSep 5, 8:00 PM EDT8 days13Weekly AIS-derived release13 strategic chokepoints
U.S. MARADOfficial maritime security advisories
OfflineNot availableNo verified success.Protected collectionNo complete current component passed the manifest-wide maritime resolver.
BarentsWatch AISRegional vessel positions
ReadyNot availableNo verified success—Live when availableIndividual tracks unavailable; route-flow fallback remains active
Hacker NewsTechnology conversation
OnlineSep 14, 3:32 AM EDT23 min8Culture sample8 current observations
WikipediaPublic curiosity · 10 language editions
OnlineSep 14, 3:32 AM EDT23 min120Culture sample120 current observations
MastodonFederated social conversation
OnlineSep 14, 3:32 AM EDT23 min20Culture sample20 current observations
RedditCommunity conversation
ReadyNot availableNo verified success—Culture sampleCoverage pending an approved source agreement; no unauthorised collection
World News APIGlobal news
ReadySep 14, 3:14 AM EDT41 min7710 countries · 5 languagesKey configured; durable publication remains disabled until written storage and caching rights are recorded.
GDELT DOC 2.0Global news
OfflineSep 14, 3:14 AM EDT41 min7710 countries · 5 languagesGDELT DOC 2.0 timed out during the latest bounded discovery request.
Direct Source NetworkGlobal news
OnlineSep 14, 3:14 AM EDT41 min7710 countries · 5 languages15/23 direct public APIs or RSS feeds responding across public, official, civic/local and specialist voices. Source roles and shared ownership are retained.
“Online” means the connector returned a current observation during this check. It does not mean complete global coverage. “Ready” means the connector is configured or intentionally waiting for licensed access. Host-native cron is configured, but traffic-assisted receipts do not prove scheduler independence. Independent external monitoring and alert delivery have not yet been proven.
DURABLE EVIDENCE LEDGER
What the machine actually received
Each retrieval stores the source, status, observation time, record count and coverage. This is the beginning of reproducible model history—not a screenshot of the current page.
Reading the latest durable source receipts…
SOURCE REGISTRY
Coverage and freshness rules
“Stale after” is a product display threshold, not a claim that every underlying dataset updates on that schedule.
Multilingual global newsNear real time
GDELT DOC 2.0 + Direct Source Network + live World News API
Protected collection publishes a quality-gated last-good newsroom payload from 23 link-only public feeds—including civic/local voices in eight languages and specialist reporting—plus bounded GDELT DOC 2.0 multilingual discovery. Related language editions count as one editorial ownership group. A separate manual World News API lane performs bounded no-store lookups for the open session only. Its results never enter durable publication, Ask, history, alerts or market signals unless written storage and derived-use rights are recorded.
- Treatment
- Measured
- Cadence
- Protected hourly collection window; public reads use the latest D1 payload and retain original publication times and source links
- Stale after
- 90 minutes for the published payload; every headline retains its own publication time
- Coverage
- Live snapshot varies. The direct network spans the UN, WHO, public broadcasters, Global Voices language editions, research and environmental reporting across Europe, the Middle East, Asia-Pacific, Africa and the Americas; GDELT adds original-language link metadata from its machine-translated multilingual index.
Country identity and developmentStructural
World Bank
Protected collection publishes a quality-gated global country payload to D1. Public reports and comparisons derive from that last-good payload with indicator-specific age gates.
- Treatment
- Metadata
- Cadence
- Protected six-hour country collection window; indicator publication cadence still varies by series
- Stale after
- 7 days for the published country payload; series-specific age gates for indicators
- Coverage
- 217 World Bank comparable profiles; 218 WorldPredicta entities after adding the separately maintained Holy See
Prices, economy and trade flowsWeekly
International Monetary Fund
Protected regional operations collection reads the latest headline-inflation and strategic-flow releases and includes them in quality-gated D1 operations payloads.
- Treatment
- Estimated
- Cadence
- Rotating protected operations collection; underlying economic releases are monthly and chokepoint releases are weekly
- Stale after
- 14 days for flow data; 60 days for monthly economic releases
- Coverage
- Countries and strategic passages supported by each IMF dataset
Aircraft movementNear real time
OpenSky, Airplanes.live, PocketWorld and licensed ADS-B sources
The public aircraft endpoint prefers configured licensed ADS-B Exchange positions. PocketWorld and anonymous OpenSky are visibly best-effort regional fallbacks. The quota-aware Airplanes.live point query runs only when every broad provider fails and is displayed as a bounded local circle, never a continent-wide layer.
- Treatment
- Measured
- Cadence
- Licensed coverage is checked every 15 seconds; PocketWorld uses a 30-second cache, anonymous OpenSky a 60-second shared backoff, and Airplanes.live a three-minute local-fallback cache
- Stale after
- 15 minutes
- Coverage
- Variable by geography, receiver density, altitude, licensing and source availability
Airport disruptionNear real time
FAA National Airspace System Status
A bounded server-side collector exposes current U.S. airport ground stops, delay programs, closures and airport-level delay notices with exact FAA timestamps and receipts.
- Treatment
- Measured
- Cadence
- 30-second shared source cache over the current FAA airport-event feed
- Stale after
- 30-second current cache; a timestamped last-verified receipt may be retained for up to 6 hours after refresh failure, then the source fails unavailable
- Coverage
- United States airport traffic-management events
Airport weatherNear real time
NOAA/NWS Aviation Weather Center
Bounded METAR and TAF lookups provide current terminal observations and forecasts while preserving the original raw weather receipts.
- Treatment
- Measured
- Cadence
- One shared lookup per airport per minute, within the documented API rate limit
- Stale after
- 90 minutes for a current METAR label
- Coverage
- Worldwide airports that publish METAR or TAF observations
Marine movementWeekly
BarentsWatch AIS + IMF PortWatch
Protected operations collection publishes licensed regional AIS tracks when configured and aggregate route-flow baselines otherwise. Public operations reads use the D1 last-good payload and withhold stale individual positions.
- Treatment
- Estimated
- Cadence
- Protected rotating operations collection; live AIS when configured and weekly aggregate chokepoint releases
- Stale after
- 15 minutes for live tracks; 14 days for aggregate flows
- Coverage
- Live vessel tracks are geographically restricted; strategic passage coverage is broader but aggregated
Natural hazardsNear real time
NASA EONET, USGS and GDACS
Protected operations collection records open Earth events, significant earthquakes and higher-severity disaster alerts in regional D1 last-good payloads.
- Treatment
- Measured
- Cadence
- Protected rotating operations collection; public reads do not poll hazard providers
- Stale after
- 60 minutes
- Coverage
- Global where source events are geolocated
Sampled city temperature contextNear real time
Open-Meteo
Protected operations collection stores current temperature and recent baselines for selected strategic cities in regional D1 last-good payloads.
- Treatment
- Modeled
- Cadence
- Protected rotating operations collection over hourly source data
- Stale after
- 6 hours
- Coverage
- Selected locations; not yet a national crop, drought, flood or climate-risk model
Culture and public attentionDaily
Wikipedia, Hacker News, Mastodon and Reddit when authorized
Protected collection turns public curiosity, technology conversation and social-attention observations into a quality-gated D1 last-good payload. Public culture reads do not call platforms.
- Treatment
- Measured
- Cadence
- Protected hourly culture collection window; source observations range from near real time to daily
- Stale after
- 90 minutes for the published payload; every observation retains its own source time
- Coverage
- Platform and language specific; Reddit remains unavailable unless authorized credentials are configured
PUBLIC DATA LAYER
Machine-readable endpoints
Clickable GET endpoints open live JSON. Path templates and POST-only lanes remain visible as documentation without becoming broken crawler links.
/api/aircraft?region=europeDirect regional aircraft contract: licensed-live when a capacity-backed provider is configured, otherwise explicit best-effort prototype coverage under shared backoffJSON ↗/api/v1/aircraft?region=europeVersioned alias for the current regional aircraft position contractJSON ↗/api/v1/aircraft/clusters?region=europe&zoom=4Zoom-aware aircraft-density clusters with verified position counts and no invented delay statusJSON ↗/api/v1/flights/{stable-track-id}?region=europeOne current provider-observed aircraft track with route, schedule and delay fields explicitly unknown until verifiedPATH TEMPLATE/api/v1/flights/{stable-track-id}/timeline?region=europeA truth-preserving track timeline that labels the currently available latest observation and withholds invented historyPATH TEMPLATE/api/v1/flights/{stable-track-id}/status?region=europeDirectly observed position state separated from unavailable airline operational statusPATH TEMPLATE/api/v1/flights/{stable-track-id}/delay-reason?region=europeA fail-closed delay-reason contract that remains unknown without a flight-specific official receiptPATH TEMPLATE/api/v1/aviation/disruptionsCurrent official FAA airport-level disruptions with causes, delay windows, evidence class and flight-specific boundariesJSON ↗/api/v1/airports/EWR/operationsOne U.S. airport's current FAA traffic-management event or an explicit no-active-event boundaryJSON ↗/api/v1/airports/EWR/weatherCurrent official METAR and TAF receipts with source time, freshness and no invented delay causationJSON ↗/api/v1/culturePublication-pinned Culture Radar topics with translated identity, original title, confidence, why-now status and noise boundariesJSON ↗/api/v1/culture/{topic-id}One publication-pinned culture dossier with its evidence and source-health receiptsPATH TEMPLATE/api/v1/live-snapshot?region=europeOne atomic publication-pinned map refresh containing regional operations, global newsroom and rules-and-people layers with matching manifest receiptsJSON ↗/api/v1/world-signalsPublication-pinned official policy actions, source-coverage states and aggregate country-level human-movement measures with explicit freshness boundariesJSON ↗/api/operations?region=europeLatest D1-published regional operations payload for natural hazards, sampled city temperatures, prices, shipping and collection-time movement; stale moving positions are withheldJSON ↗/api/v1/conflictsSchema-validated UCDP monthly candidate snapshot with all represented type-and-ID groupings, sampled geolocated events, precision fields and an explicit not-live/not-exhaustive boundaryJSON ↗/api/v1/askIntent- and entity-gated retrieval with optional citation-validated grounded synthesis; every provider or schema failure preserves the deterministic evidence-backed fallbackJSON ↗/api/v1/briefingFive-minute world briefing across measured changes, news, culture, markets and forecastsJSON ↗/api/v1/changesDeltas between the newest durable evidence snapshots for every connected sourceJSON ↗/api/v1/compare?countries=united-states,bahrainSource-period-aware comparison of two to four countriesJSON ↗/api/v1/rankings?metric=growthTransparent single-indicator country rankings with exact source periods and limitationsJSON ↗/api/v1/countriesGlobal entity registry and classification coverage; indicator-backed views read the protected D1 country payloadJSON ↗/api/v1/countries/united-statesEntity record plus a structured intelligence report derived from the latest D1-published country payloadJSON ↗/api/v1/countries/bahrain/reportFull country summary, directions, outlooks, risks, opportunities and evidenceJSON ↗/api/v1/countries/bahrain/indicatorsExact country indicator values, observation periods, units and sourcesJSON ↗/api/v1/countries/bahrain/investmentCountry investment-access research pathways and restrictions to verifyJSON ↗/api/v1/countries/bahrain/forecastsExplicit country forecast links or an honest empty stateJSON ↗/api/v1/newsLatest D1-published multilingual headline payload, provider status and explicit delayed-snapshot stateJSON ↗/api/v1/news/liveSame-origin manual World News API lookup with strict quotas, no application caching and no durable retention; results stay outside Ask, alerts, history and market signalsPOST JSON/api/v1/breakingRule-gated breaking and developing reports derived from the latest committed newsroom snapshot, with exact primary and bounded corroborating receiptsJSON ↗/api/v1/marketsLatest D1-published world-signal ticker alignment with component scores and missing-input disclosureJSON ↗/api/v1/historyDurable evidence snapshots by source, retrieval time, record count and coverageJSON ↗/api/v1/ingestPublic read-only health plus a secret-protected collector POST that writes durable family payloads and run receiptsJSON ↗/api/v1/monitoringMeasured 24-hour ingestion objectives plus a truth-labeled trailing 30-day run and family historyJSON ↗/api/v1/correctionsRate-limited durable correction receipts for source, timestamp, geography and methodology errorsJSON ↗/api/v1/launch-readinessMachine-readable public, paid and commercial launch gatesJSON ↗/api/v1/source-rightsSource-by-source operational commercial-rights controls and paid-use gatesJSON ↗/api/v1/data-sourcesConnected, partial, planned and permission-required data-source coverage registerJSON ↗/api/v1/sources/statusExpanded source-control registry with rights, cadence, stale threshold, fallback and active publication receiptsJSON ↗/api/v1/publicationAtomic publication generations, active pointer and rollback activation historyJSON ↗/api/v1/publication-manifestCanonical machine-readable alias for the active publication manifest and activation ledgerJSON ↗/api/v1/straitsPublication-pinned Strait Stress explanations with measured, confirmed, inferred and unknown componentsJSON ↗/api/v1/straits/chokepoint6One publication-pinned strategic-passage dossier with evidence, caveats and watch conditionsJSON ↗/api/v1/scenariosDeterministic qualitative causal scenarios from user-selected shocks; explicitly not a live forecastJSON ↗/api/v1/forecastsPublished forecasts, probabilities, evidence and resolution rulesJSON ↗/api/v1/forecast-scienceReproducible priors, exact point-in-time inputs, evidence weights, quality gates and durable model-run historyJSON ↗/api/v1/statusSource registry, freshness policy, model versions and API catalogJSON ↗VETTED EXPANSION QUEUE
What enters the machine next—and what does not
A GitHub repository can be a wrapper, a catalog, a crawler or an archived mirror. Only authoritative, licensable observations become model evidence.
Orama
In-process full-text retrieval for Ask Predicta evidenceUsed for bounded BM25 retrieval across current WorldPredicta evidence. It does not generate answers or replace source citations.
Open source decision ↗OpenAI Responses API
Optional grounded synthesis for Ask Predicta after deterministic retrievalReceives a bounded URL-free evidence packet with store disabled and a pseudonymous safety identifier. Server-side schema and evidence-ID validation reject uncited or malformed synthesis without blanking the deterministic answer.
Open source decision ↗World Monitor
Reference architecture for multi-source world monitoringThe project is AGPL-3.0. WorldPredicta does not copy or bundle its code into the commercial product; any future integration requires license compliance or separate terms.
Open source decision ↗FAOSTAT API
Crop yields, fertilizer, land use, food balances and agricultural productionUse the official 2026 API and retain area, item, element, year and source metadata.
Open source decision ↗OWID Chart API
Energy mix, emissions and climate indicatorsThe old owid-datasets repository is archived. Use current chart exports only after checking each original provider's license.
Open source decision ↗IMF World Economic Outlook
Debt, inflation, unemployment, current accounts, fiscal indicators and five-year projectionsUse the official IMF Data Portal SDMX/API and preserve whether each value is observed or projected.
Open source decision ↗V-Dem v16
Institutions, media freedom, polarization and democratic directionAnnual modeled and expert-coded indicators need uncertainty-aware interpretation; they are not a real-time political feed.
Open source decision ↗GDELT 2.0 Events
Bounded multilingual article discovery now; optional research-grade Event/GKG records and CAMEO activity codes laterThe protected newsroom collector uses a bounded DOC 2.0 article list and retains only link metadata with attribution. Full Event/GKG files are not connected or counted as event coverage; they require an offline warehouse plus duplicate, corroboration, geography and source-volume bias controls.
Open source decision ↗ACLED
Disaggregated conflict and political-violence eventsDo not ingest or commercially redistribute until the product's use is covered by an ACLED license.
Open source decision ↗FinanceDatabase
Country, exchange, equity, ETF, fund, currency and index discoveryUseful for finding possible market-access vehicles; explicitly not a live price or fundamentals source.
Open source decision ↗Scrapy + Crawl4AI
Authorized collection and structured extraction from permitted websitesThese are crawling frameworks, not evidence sources. Run them in a governed worker pipeline with robots, terms, rate limits and provenance checks.
Open source decision ↗Maritime_Vessel_Tracking + AISStream
Persistent AIS collection, MMSI history, congestion analysis, geofences and voyage replayThe open-source project is a reference architecture, not a vessel feed. A separately hosted persistent collector and licensed AIS key are required before global individual tracks can be sold.
Open source decision ↗PUBLIC GOVERNANCE
Rules, corrections and launch gates
Public availability does not override source licensing, privacy, security or validation gates. Restricted capabilities stay off until their evidence and rights are complete.
Research policySource hierarchy, neutrality, translation and forecast disciplineOPEN →Corrections deskDurable, rate-limited correction receiptsOPEN →Launch readinessPass, limited and blocked commercialization gatesOPEN →PrivacyData footprint, local preferences and network security processingOPEN →TermsResearch use, risks and prohibited conductOPEN →