WORLD PREDICTA
OFFICIAL RECORDS + AGGREGATE PEOPLE FLOWSRULES & PEOPLE
WHAT CHANGED · WHO IT CAN REACH · WHAT THE DATA ACTUALLY MEASURES

Rules shape tomorrow. People reveal pressure.

One household-readable view of proposed rules, parliamentary bills, state-source coverage, asylum applications, refugee estimates and net migration. Every card separates official status from possible impact.

Publication GEN 9130 · Oct 31, 2026 · Updated Oct 31, 2026

Start with the labels

Proposal is not law. A final rule is not automatically effective today. An asylum application is not an arrival. A refugee nowcast is an estimate of a stock. Net migration is a balance, not a route. WorldPredicta keeps those boundaries visible everywhere.

Open the map → and switch on Policy or People.

Official policy changes

18 latest official records shown across 3 active connected jurisdictions.

UNITED KINGDOM · HEALTH · IN-PARLIAMENT

Health Bill

If it advances and is implemented, this measure could change coverage, care delivery or product requirements in the United Kingdom. The official text, final status and effective date control.

Official stage
Committee stage
Record updated
Oct 30, 2026
Effective
Not reported
A bill is not law unless the official record identifies it as an Act. This feed covers Westminster, not devolved legislatures.
UNITED KINGDOM · SECURITY · IN-PARLIAMENT

Cyber Security and Resilience (Network and Information Systems) Bill

If it advances and is implemented, this measure could change rights, obligations or government action in the United Kingdom. The official text, final status and effective date control.

Official stage
3rd reading
Record updated
Oct 30, 2026
Effective
Not reported
A bill is not law unless the official record identifies it as an Act. This feed covers Westminster, not devolved legislatures.
UNITED KINGDOM · GOVERNMENT & LAW · IN-PARLIAMENT

Railways Bill

If it advances and is implemented, this measure could change rights, obligations or government action in the United Kingdom. The official text, final status and effective date control.

Official stage
Report stage
Record updated
Oct 30, 2026
Effective
Not reported
A bill is not law unless the official record identifies it as an Act. This feed covers Westminster, not devolved legislatures.
UNITED KINGDOM · GOVERNMENT & LAW · IN-PARLIAMENT

House of Lords (Alternative Second Chamber) Bill [HL]

If it advances and is implemented, this measure could change rights, obligations or government action in the United Kingdom. The official text, final status and effective date control.

Official stage
Committee stage
Record updated
Oct 30, 2026
Effective
Not reported
A bill is not law unless the official record identifies it as an Act. This feed covers Westminster, not devolved legislatures.
UNITED KINGDOM · GOVERNMENT & LAW · IN-PARLIAMENT

Courts and Tribunals Bill

If it advances and is implemented, this measure could change rights, obligations or government action in the United Kingdom. The official text, final status and effective date control.

Official stage
Committee stage
Record updated
Oct 30, 2026
Effective
Not reported
A bill is not law unless the official record identifies it as an Act. This feed covers Westminster, not devolved legislatures.
UNITED KINGDOM · GOVERNMENT & LAW · IN-PARLIAMENT

Representation of the People Bill

If it advances and is implemented, this measure could change rights, obligations or government action in the United Kingdom. The official text, final status and effective date control.

Official stage
Committee stage
Record updated
Oct 30, 2026
Effective
Not reported
A bill is not law unless the official record identifies it as an Act. This feed covers Westminster, not devolved legislatures.
UNITED KINGDOM · GOVERNMENT & LAW · IN-PARLIAMENT

Sporting Events Bill [HL]

If it advances and is implemented, this measure could change rights, obligations or government action in the United Kingdom. The official text, final status and effective date control.

Official stage
Report stage
Record updated
Oct 30, 2026
Effective
Not reported
A bill is not law unless the official record identifies it as an Act. This feed covers Westminster, not devolved legislatures.
UNITED KINGDOM · GOVERNMENT & LAW · IN-PARLIAMENT

Financial Services and Markets Bill [HL]

If it advances and is implemented, this measure could change rights, obligations or government action in the United Kingdom. The official text, final status and effective date control.

Official stage
2nd reading
Record updated
Oct 30, 2026
Effective
Not reported
A bill is not law unless the official record identifies it as an Act. This feed covers Westminster, not devolved legislatures.
UNITED KINGDOM · HOUSING · IN-PARLIAMENT

Social Housing Bill [HL]

If it advances and is implemented, this measure could change housing supply, tenant rules or household costs in the United Kingdom. The official text, final status and effective date control.

Official stage
Committee stage
Record updated
Oct 30, 2026
Effective
Not reported
A bill is not law unless the official record identifies it as an Act. This feed covers Westminster, not devolved legislatures.
UNITED KINGDOM · GOVERNMENT & LAW · IN-PARLIAMENT

Malvern Hills Bill [HL]

If it advances and is implemented, this measure could change rights, obligations or government action in the United Kingdom. The official text, final status and effective date control.

Official stage
Motion to revive Bill
Record updated
Oct 30, 2026
Effective
Not reported
A bill is not law unless the official record identifies it as an Act. This feed covers Westminster, not devolved legislatures.
UNITED KINGDOM · GOVERNMENT & LAW · IN-PARLIAMENT

Highways (Financing) Bill

If it advances and is implemented, this measure could change rights, obligations or government action in the United Kingdom. The official text, final status and effective date control.

Official stage
Committee stage
Record updated
Oct 30, 2026
Effective
Not reported
A bill is not law unless the official record identifies it as an Act. This feed covers Westminster, not devolved legislatures.
UNITED KINGDOM · GOVERNMENT & LAW · IN-PARLIAMENT

Northern Ireland Troubles Bill

If it advances and is implemented, this measure could change rights, obligations or government action in the United Kingdom. The official text, final status and effective date control.

Official stage
2nd reading
Record updated
Oct 30, 2026
Effective
Not reported
A bill is not law unless the official record identifies it as an Act. This feed covers Westminster, not devolved legislatures.
UNITED KINGDOM · IMMIGRATION & MOVEMENT · IN-PARLIAMENT

Immigration and Asylum Bill

If it advances and is implemented, this measure could change entry, work rights or administrative processing in the United Kingdom. The official text, final status and effective date control.

Official stage
Committee stage
Record updated
Oct 30, 2026
Effective
Not reported
A bill is not law unless the official record identifies it as an Act. This feed covers Westminster, not devolved legislatures.
UNITED KINGDOM · GOVERNMENT & LAW · IN-PARLIAMENT

Sovereign Grant Bill

If it advances and is implemented, this measure could change rights, obligations or government action in the United Kingdom. The official text, final status and effective date control.

Official stage
Royal Assent
Record updated
Oct 30, 2026
Effective
Not reported
A bill is not law unless the official record identifies it as an Act. This feed covers Westminster, not devolved legislatures.
UNITED STATES · GOVERNMENT & LAW · NOTICE

Further Modifying the Scope of Products of Canada Subject to the Additional Duties Imposed To Offset Canadian Discrimination Against the Commerce of the United States With Respect to Motor Vehicles

As it moves toward or through implementation, this measure could change rights, obligations or government action in the United States. The official text, final status and effective date control.

Official stage
Official notice published
Record updated
Oct 30, 2026
Effective
Not reported
A Federal Register proposal or notice is not an enacted statute. FederalRegister.gov metadata is linked to the official document; the final legal text controls.
UNITED STATES · GOVERNMENT & LAW · FINAL-RULE

Safety Zone; M/T KALAHARI, Gulf of America, Pascagoula, MS

As it moves toward or through implementation, this measure could change rights, obligations or government action in the United States. The official text, final status and effective date control.

Official stage
Final rule published
Record updated
Oct 30, 2026
Effective
Oct 30, 2026
A Federal Register proposal or notice is not an enacted statute. FederalRegister.gov metadata is linked to the official document; the final legal text controls.
UNITED STATES · TECHNOLOGY · NOTICE

Privacy Act of 1974; System of Records

As it moves toward or through implementation, this measure could change data, platform or technology obligations in the United States. The official text, final status and effective date control.

Official stage
Official notice published
Record updated
Oct 30, 2026
Effective
Nov 30, 2026
A Federal Register proposal or notice is not an enacted statute. FederalRegister.gov metadata is linked to the official document; the final legal text controls.
UNITED STATES · GOVERNMENT & LAW · NOTICE

Notice of Public Hearing and Business Meeting November 4, 2026 and December 3, 2026

As it moves toward or through implementation, this measure could change rights, obligations or government action in the United States. The official text, final status and effective date control.

Official stage
Official notice published
Record updated
Oct 30, 2026
Effective
Not reported
A Federal Register proposal or notice is not an enacted statute. FederalRegister.gov metadata is linked to the official document; the final legal text controls.

State and national source coverage

A coverage marker means an official source is registered or checked. It does not mean a law changed today.

NATIONAL · USA

United States

CURRENT ACTION · checked Oct 31, 2026

Federal regulatory actions connected; congressional bills require a separate official connector.

U.S. Federal Register ↗
NATIONAL · GBR

United Kingdom

CURRENT ACTION · checked Oct 31, 2026

Westminster bills connected; devolved legislatures are not included.

UK Parliament Bills ↗
STATE · US-TX

Texas

CHECKED NO CURRENT ACTION · checked Oct 31, 2026

Official daily filed/passed-bill feeds are connected. No action is inferred when a feed reports none.

Texas Legislature ↗
STATE · US-PA

Pennsylvania

CURRENT ACTION · checked Oct 31, 2026

Official House and Senate roll-call feeds are connected. A roll call is not proof of enactment.

Pennsylvania General Assembly ↗
STATE · US-IA

Iowa

REGISTERED UNVERIFIED · not checked in this publication

An official bill-feed location is registered, but this publication did not fetch or validate it. No freshness or activity claim is made.

Iowa Legislature ↗
STATE · US-KS

Kansas

INVENTORY CURRENT · checked Oct 31, 2026

The official bill inventory is connected. Inventory freshness does not establish a new filing, vote, passage or effective law.

Kansas Legislature ↗

Where people are under movement pressure

These are aggregate measurements—not individual tracking. The map draws annual asylum-application corridors, monthly destination estimates and separate structural net-migration markers.

APPLICATIONS · 2025

Sudan → Egypt

264,846 applications lodged. Applications lodged are not verified arrivals, approvals or a live count of people in transit.

APPLICATIONS · 2025

Venezuela → United States

141,616 applications lodged. Applications lodged are not verified arrivals, approvals or a live count of people in transit.

APPLICATIONS · 2025

Afghanistan → Germany

87,715 applications lodged. Applications lodged are not verified arrivals, approvals or a live count of people in transit.

APPLICATIONS · 2025

Mexico → United States

86,001 applications lodged. Applications lodged are not verified arrivals, approvals or a live count of people in transit.

APPLICATIONS · 2025

Venezuela → Spain

85,413 applications lodged. Applications lodged are not verified arrivals, approvals or a live count of people in transit.

APPLICATIONS · 2025

Central African Republic → Democratic Republic of the Congo

65,003 applications lodged. Applications lodged are not verified arrivals, approvals or a live count of people in transit.

APPLICATIONS · 2025

Turkiye → Germany

59,455 applications lodged. Applications lodged are not verified arrivals, approvals or a live count of people in transit.

APPLICATIONS · 2025

Haiti → United States

52,130 applications lodged. Applications lodged are not verified arrivals, approvals or a live count of people in transit.

APPLICATIONS · 2025

South Sudan → Ethiopia

51,390 applications lodged. Applications lodged are not verified arrivals, approvals or a live count of people in transit.

APPLICATIONS · 2025

Colombia → United States

50,868 applications lodged. Applications lodged are not verified arrivals, approvals or a live count of people in transit.

APPLICATIONS · 2025

Cuba → Brazil

41,919 applications lodged. Applications lodged are not verified arrivals, approvals or a live count of people in transit.

APPLICATIONS · 2025

Syria → Germany

41,266 applications lodged. Applications lodged are not verified arrivals, approvals or a live count of people in transit.

Destination estimates and structural balance

UNHCR destination nowcasts

Germany · 2,600,712 estimated refugees · September 2026

Turkiye · 2,245,537 estimated refugees · September 2026

Uganda · 1,962,195 estimated refugees · September 2026

Chad · 1,569,229 estimated refugees · September 2026

Bangladesh · 1,206,599 estimated refugees · September 2026

Pakistan · 1,159,031 estimated refugees · September 2026

Ethiopia · 1,027,912 estimated refugees · September 2026

Poland · 874,725 estimated refugees · September 2026

Sudan · 856,460 estimated refugees · September 2026

France · 791,579 estimated refugees · September 2026

Iran · 770,514 estimated refugees · September 2026

South Sudan · 657,479 estimated refugees · September 2026

World Bank net migration

Ukraine · +1,702,358 net · 2025

Pakistan · −1,235,336 net · 2025

United States · +1,230,663 net · 2025

India · −495,753 net · 2025

Syria · +421,693 net · 2025

Bangladesh · −402,100 net · 2025

United Kingdom · +389,911 net · 2025

Nepal · −364,699 net · 2025

Germany · −334,072 net · 2025

Poland · −330,820 net · 2025

Canada · +326,204 net · 2025

Jordan · −303,267 net · 2025

Source receipts

U.S. Federal Register · connected · 30 normalized records · Weekdays · official documentation ↗
U.S. federal rules, proposed rules and notices; not Congress bills · U.S. federal public information; linked third-party material remains separate

UK Parliament Bills · connected · 30 normalized records · As Parliament updates bills · official documentation ↗
Westminster bills and stages; devolved legislatures excluded · Open Parliament Licence v3.0

Texas Legislature · connected · 0 normalized records · Daily during legislative activity · official documentation ↗
Texas bills filed today and bills reported passed today; not a complete historical docket · Official public legislative records; linked bill text controls

Pennsylvania General Assembly · connected · 30 normalized records · As roll calls are published · official documentation ↗
Recent Pennsylvania House and Senate roll calls; a vote is not proof of enactment · Official public legislative records; linked record controls

Kansas Legislature bill inventory · connected · 1522 normalized records · Official inventory rebuilds · official documentation ↗
Kansas bill inventory only; inventory freshness is not a bill-stage or passage event · Official public legislative records; linked bill histories control

UNHCR Refugee Population Statistics Database · connected · 591 normalized records · Annual official statistics · official documentation ↗
Bounded country-balanced asylum-application corridors; applications are not arrivals · CC BY 4.0

UNHCR nowcasting · connected · 168 normalized records · Monthly estimate · official documentation ↗
Destination-country refugee and asylum-seeker stock estimates; origin unavailable · CC BY 4.0

World Bank net migration · connected · 211 normalized records · Annual / structural · official documentation ↗
Latest country net-migration balances; no bilateral route · World Bank dataset terms; attribution retained

Coverage is not global yet. A missing jurisdiction means not connected, not no legislative activity.

Legal status comes only from official records. News and AI cannot promote a proposal into law.

State coverage markers show connector scope; they are not claims that a new law passed today.

Asylum applications are not arrivals or approvals; refugee nowcasts are modeled stocks.

Net migration is a balance with no bilateral corridor and is not live tracking.

All records are aggregate. WorldPredicta does not track individuals.