WORLD PREDICTA
PERMANENT COUNTRY REPORTWP-MMR · MMR
SOVEREIGN COUNTRY

Myanmar

Official name: Republic of the Union of Myanmar

WORLD PREDICTA IDWP-MMR
ISO / UN CODESMM · MMR · 104
REGIONEast Asia & Pacific
CAPITALNaypyidaw
CURRENCYMMK
LANGUAGESBurmese
TIME ZONESAsia/Yangon
REGISTRY VERIFIEDSep 14, 2026

Classification and identifiers are registry facts. Direction ratings below are model inferences. Missing fields stay visibly unverified.

01Quick snapshot

Direction, grade, opportunity, risk and coverage in roughly 30 seconds.

02Standard report

Plain-English economy, household, global role and evidence gaps.

03Full intelligence

Expandable category grades, source years, direction model and investment pathways.

WHOLE-COUNTRY INTELLIGENCE

One report card. Every country. No hidden grades.

Choose an economy or territory to see its evidence, household conditions and investable themes. An em dash means the evidence is still being built—never that missing data equals zero.

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OFFICIAL DATA SNAPSHOT READYServed from the latest protected country-data collection. 25/25 requests attempted · 25/25 series returned usable cross-country data
MMR · East Asia & PacificLimited coverage now

Myanmar

Capital: Naypyidaw. Lower middle income. Population 54.9M; 30.6% urban.

CURRENT DATA COVERAGE56%
96% historical coverage. Historical only: youthNeet 15 (2020); inflation 8.8 (2019); internet 45.4 (2020); secondaryEnrollment 77 (2018); plus 6 more. These readings remain visible but do not affect current grades or directions.
COUNTRY RESILIENCEWithheld: current core evidence incomplete
MACRO OPPORTUNITY ALIGNMENTWithheld: current core evidence incomplete
REQUESTS ATTEMPTED25/25All declared indicator requests were attempted
SERIES RETURNED DATA25/25Usable cross-country series, not country coverage
VALUES RETURNED FOR MMR24/25Historical values available; future-dated values excluded
CURRENT ENOUGH FOR MODEL14/2556% current model coverage
THE COUNTRY BRIEF

Myanmar: what matters, why it matters, and what could change

56% current · 96% historical coverage
BOTTOM LINE

With 54.9M people, this is a substantial labor and consumer market with meaningful regional influence. WorldPredicta withholds the current resilience grade because required recent evidence is missing or stale. Historical coverage is 96%, while 56% is current enough to enter the model.

CURRENT COUNTRY SIGNALS

What is being reported about Myanmar now

Reporting is context, not proof. Each item keeps its source, date and corroboration count.

Checking the latest direct-source newsroom…
01 · ECONOMIC ENGINE

Is the economy creating durable income?

Growth of -2.0% signals contraction, which raises pressure on jobs, credit and public budgets. Comparable inflation is missing. Unemployment of 3.0% is comparatively low, although wages, hours and informal work still determine job quality. GDP per person is 1.5K USD; that average does not show inequality or regional differences.

02 · PEOPLE + DAILY LIFE

Is national progress reaching households?

Internet access is not available in the comparable file. 73.9% of the rural population has electricity access; reliability and affordability still matter beyond connection alone. Life expectancy is 67.1 years, a broad outcome influenced by income, care access, safety and public capacity. Basic sanitation reaches 74.2% of people, secondary enrollment is No recent reading, severe food insecurity is 7.2%, and social-protection programs reach No recent reading. Different survey years mean these are structural conditions, not a real-time pulse. Urbanization is 30.6%. These indicators describe access and outcomes, but not housing costs, wages or service quality.

03 · GLOBAL ROLE

How does the outside world affect this country?

Trade exposure is missing. Comparable mineral-rent exposure is missing. Net foreign direct investment is 1.5% of GDP, an imperfect but useful clue about external capital and project formation. No investment theme is assigned because only 2 of 5 required structural inputs are current enough to use. Historical observations remain visible below but cannot become a present-day thesis.

04 · WHAT WE STILL DO NOT KNOW

The blind spots that could change the story

The comparable file still lacks country-normalized wages, hours, housing costs, benefit adequacy, education quality, current politics, security, corruption, cultural momentum, rail and road activity, and complete historical climate exposure. Those are not minor footnotes: they can reverse an investment thesis or explain why headline growth does not reach households.

WHAT THIS COULD MEAN FOR YOU

Each signal is translated into consequences for money, work, daily life and future opportunity instead of being left as a number.

ECONOMIC ENGINE-2.0%

Can the economy create more income?

Growth of -2.0% signals contraction, which raises pressure on jobs, credit and public budgets.

HOUSEHOLD PRESSURENo recent reading

Can people keep their purchasing power?

Comparable inflation is missing. Unemployment of 3.0% is comparatively low, although wages, hours and informal work still determine job quality.

GLOBAL EXPOSURENo recent reading

How easily can the world move this country?

Trade exposure is missing.

INVESTMENT THEMEInsufficient current evidence

Where the broad opportunity may sit

Comparable mineral-rent exposure is missing. Net foreign direct investment is 1.5% of GDP, an imperfect but useful clue about external capital and project formation.

WHAT TO WATCH NEXT

The four signals most likely to change the story

PRICES VS. PAYNo recent reading inflation · 3.0% unemployment

If prices outpace wages while joblessness rises, household stress can spread into credit, politics and consumer demand.

EXTERNAL DEMANDNo recent reading trade · 1.5% FDI

Export orders, import costs and capital flows can change growth and currency pressure faster than annual statistics.

PHYSICAL CAPACITY73.9% rural power · No recent reading online

Access without reliability, affordability or capacity can turn strong demand into inflation and stalled projects.

THE HUMAN FILE7.2% food insecurity · No recent reading protected

Food security and assistance coverage show whether headline success is felt at home; wages, housing costs and benefit adequacy remain important gaps.

COUNTRY DIRECTION ENGINE · BASELINE RELEASE

Where the evidence says this country may be heading

These are model inferences with explicit horizons and reversal conditions. They are not observed facts, promises, or sovereign ratings.

LOW OVERALL CONFIDENCE
EconomicNext 12 months
Insufficient evidenceLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now
  • Withheld because required current evidence is missing or stale: inflation is from 2019 (7 years old; maximum 2).

WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITA major demand, commodity, currency or policy shock could reverse the current baseline.

Household financesNext 12 months
Insufficient evidenceLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now
  • Withheld because required current evidence is missing or stale: inflation is from 2019 (7 years old; maximum 2).

WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITWages, housing, utilities and benefit adequacy are not yet normalized and could materially change the conclusion.

EmploymentNext 12 months
StableLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now
  • Current unemployment is 3.0%.
  • Current labor-force participation is 55.1%.
  • Current youth outside work or education is No recent reading.

WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITA hiring, wage or hours-worked release could change this direction before headline unemployment moves.

InfrastructureNext 3 years
StableLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now
  • Current rural electricity access is 73.9%.
  • Current basic sanitation access is 74.2%.
  • Current growth is -2.0%.

WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITProject finance, execution delays, outages or fiscal pressure could slow improvement.

TechnologyNext 3 years
Insufficient evidenceLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now
  • Withheld because required current evidence is missing or stale: internet is from 2020 (6 years old; maximum 3).

WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITAffordability, censorship, weak power reliability or capital shortages could reverse digital gains.

HealthNext 3 years
MixedLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now
  • Current life expectancy is 67.1 years.
  • Current under-five mortality is 36.9 per 1,000.
  • Hospital capacity and workforce data are still missing.

WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITAn outbreak, conflict, funding cut or care-capacity shock could change the outlook.

Climate transitionNext 5 to 10 years
Insufficient evidenceLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now
  • Withheld because required current evidence is missing or stale: renewableEnergy is from 2021 (5 years old; maximum 4).

WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITPolicy changes, grid constraints, climate disasters or fossil-fuel investment could change the transition path.

InvestmentNext 3 years
Insufficient evidenceLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now
  • Insufficient current evidence
  • No investment theme is assigned because only 2 of 5 required structural inputs are current enough to use. Historical observations remain visible below but cannot become a present-day thesis.
  • Foreign direct investment is 1.5% of GDP.

WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITValuation, currency, sanctions, ownership rules, liquidity and legal access can outweigh the macro theme.

Political + securityNext 3 months
Insufficient evidenceLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now
  • Comparable current politics, election, protest, conflict and security feeds are not yet normalized.
  • No political direction is inferred from GDP or market data.
  • The missing rating is deliberate.

WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITA verified political and security source stack is required before this category can receive a direction.

INVESTMENT ACCESS MAP

How an investor could research exposure to Myanmar

Economic outlook, investability and market access are separate. A strong economy can still be expensive, illiquid or legally difficult to access.

OVERALL INVESTABILITYNOT RATED

Not rated until legal access, liquidity, custody, convertibility, repatriation and political risk are verified.

LEGAL FOREIGN ACCESSNot verified for an investor starting in United StatesTruthful gap · do not infer access
PRACTICAL RETAIL ACCESSLimited; no broad-market research vehicle is verifiedTruthful gap · do not infer access
VERIFIED INVESTMENT VEHICLENone verified for tradingTruthful gap · do not infer access
LIQUIDITYNot verifiedTruthful gap · do not infer access
CUSTODY AVAILABILITYNot verifiedTruthful gap · do not infer access
CURRENCY CONVERTIBILITYNot verifiedTruthful gap · do not infer access
CAPITAL REPATRIATIONNot verifiedTruthful gap · do not infer access
POLITICAL AND REGULATORY RISKNot ratedTruthful gap · do not infer access
DATA CONFIDENCELow; 56% of selected indicators are current enoughTruthful gap · do not infer access
01 · PUBLIC MARKETS

No simple broad-market vehicle verified

Research the local exchange, broad index, foreign-ownership rules, custody, settlement and liquidity. WorldPredicta will not invent a ticker.

02 · BONDS + CURRENCY

Requires instrument-level verification

Sovereign bonds, hard-currency debt and foreign exchange can create exposure, but minimum sizes, withholding tax, duration, convertibility and broker access are not yet normalized here.

03 · DIRECT BUSINESS

Insufficient current evidence

No investment theme is assigned because only 2 of 5 required structural inputs are current enough to use. Historical observations remain visible below but cannot become a present-day thesis. Licensing, local partners, ownership limits, labor rules and repatriation must be checked with official investment and regulatory bodies.

04 · INDIRECT EXPOSURE

Suppliers, customers and regional funds

Companies or funds outside Myanmar may receive revenue from its demand, trade or resource cycle. Revenue geography and valuation still need company-level research.

05 · PRIVATE MARKETS + PROPERTY

No pathway verified yet

Title, residency, financing, tax, disclosure, exit liquidity and foreign-buyer rules vary sharply. This path stays unranked until official and transaction-level evidence is available.

CURRENCY

Exchange-rate moves can erase local returns. Hedging cost and convertibility are not yet scored.

LAW + OWNERSHIP

Foreign ownership, licensing, taxation, custody and capital-repatriation rules require current local verification.

LIQUIDITY

A quoted asset may still be difficult or expensive to enter and exit. Volume and market depth are not yet normalized.

SANCTIONS

No live sanctions clearance has been performed. Check the current rules for every investor, security, bank and counterparty.

Educational research only. This is not personalized investment, tax or legal advice, a recommendation to trade, or a promise of returns.

Work & jobsPARTIAL COVERAGE
C

Latest available unemployment is 3.0%, labor-force participation is 55.1%, and No recent reading of young people are outside work, education or training.

WHY IT MATTERS

Jobs connect growth to household security.

WHO FEELS IT

Workers and young people.

WATCH NEXT

Hiring, hours, wages and participation.

Unemployment · participation · youth NEET · source years 2020 historical-only, 2025 annual/structural · current enough
Basic infrastructurePARTIAL COVERAGE
C

73.9% of the rural population has electricity, 74.2% has basic sanitation, digital access is No recent reading, and transport is represented by a structural passenger-rate measure. The grade is capped below A because power reliability and water access are missing.

WHY IT MATTERS

Power and services keep homes and industry working.

WHO FEELS IT

Households, industry and utilities.

WATCH NEXT

Outages, capacity and investment.

Power access · sanitation · transport · digital access · reliability and water gaps · source years 2020 historical-only, 2023 annual/structural · current enough, 2024 annual/structural · current enough, 2025 annual/structural · current enough
Investment flowsANNUAL · CURRENT ENOUGH
D

Latest available net foreign direct investment is 1.5% of GDP. Large one-year deals can distort this reading.

WHY IT MATTERS

Investment adds capacity; reversals strain finance.

WHO FEELS IT

Firms, banks and governments.

WATCH NEXT

Projects, flows, currency and concentration.

FDI net inflows · source years 2024 annual/structural · current enough
Transport activityANNUAL · CURRENT ENOUGH
C

Air carriers moved 3.5M passengers, or about 65 per 1,000 residents. Aircraft and sea-lane feeds add separately timestamped movement context when available.

WHY IT MATTERS

Bottlenecks become shortages and higher prices.

WHO FEELS IT

Travelers, factories and retailers.

WATCH NEXT

Flights, ports, rail, freight and delays.

Annual air passengers per resident · movement feeds when available · source years 2023 annual/structural · current enough, 2025 annual/structural · current enough
GRADE RULEEvery indicator has a declared maximum age. Historical values stay visible with their year, but only current-enough observations can enter grades, directions or outlooks. Missing or stale core evidence produces an em dash or “Insufficient evidence,” never a guessed score.World Bank API
OFFICIAL STATUS + AGGREGATE MOVEMENT

Rules and people in Myanmar

This section separates legal jurisdiction from possible effects, and movement measurements from individual travel. A proposal is not law; an application is not an arrival; a stock is not a flow.

Open the global Rules & People desk →

GOVERNMENT & LAW

No current action in connected sources

This jurisdiction is not yet covered by a dedicated official-law adapter. The gap is shown instead of being filled from headlines.

PEOPLE MOVING

4 measured signals

MyanmarMalaysia · 2,952 asylum application · 2025
Applications lodged are not verified arrivals, approvals or a live count of people in transit.

MyanmarJapan · 1,655 asylum application · 2025
Applications lodged are not verified arrivals, approvals or a live count of people in transit.

MyanmarIndia · 1,254 asylum application · 2025
Applications lodged are not verified arrivals, approvals or a live count of people in transit.

NET MIGRATION · -39,661 people · 2025
Net migration is the balance of inflows and outflows. It does not identify an origin, destination corridor or people moving now.