Direction, grade, opportunity, risk and coverage in roughly 30 seconds.
Sudan
Classification and identifiers are registry facts. Direction ratings below are model inferences. Missing fields stay visibly unverified.
Plain-English economy, household, global role and evidence gaps.
Expandable category grades, source years, direction model and investment pathways.
One report card. Every country. No hidden grades.
Choose an economy or territory to see its evidence, household conditions and investable themes. An em dash means the evidence is still being built—never that missing data equals zero.
Sudan
Capital: Khartoum. Low income. Population 51.7M; 34.9% urban.
Sudan: what matters, why it matters, and what could change
With 51.7M people, this is a substantial labor and consumer market with meaningful regional influence. WorldPredicta withholds the current resilience grade because required recent evidence is missing or stale. Historical coverage is 84%, while 48% is current enough to enter the model.
What is being reported about Sudan now
Reporting is context, not proof. Each item keeps its source, date and corroboration count.
Is the economy creating durable income?
Growth of 3.1% suggests expansion, but not every household or industry will participate equally. Comparable inflation is missing. Comparable unemployment is missing, so the link between growth and households is incomplete. GDP per person is 1.2K USD; that average does not show inequality or regional differences.
Is national progress reaching households?
Internet access is not available in the comparable file. 54.2% of the rural population has electricity access; reliability and affordability still matter beyond connection alone. Life expectancy is 66.5 years, a broad outcome influenced by income, care access, safety and public capacity. Basic sanitation reaches 65.7% of people, secondary enrollment is No recent reading, severe food insecurity is No recent reading, and social-protection programs reach No recent reading. Different survey years mean these are structural conditions, not a real-time pulse. Urbanization is 34.9%. These indicators describe access and outcomes, but not housing costs, wages or service quality.
How does the outside world affect this country?
Trade equals 2.4% of GDP, suggesting domestic demand has more weight while imports and exports still matter. Comparable mineral-rent exposure is missing. Foreign direct-investment data is missing. Economic growth alongside incomplete electricity access can create long-duration infrastructure demand, with financing and execution risk.
The blind spots that could change the story
The comparable file still lacks country-normalized wages, hours, housing costs, benefit adequacy, education quality, current politics, security, corruption, cultural momentum, rail and road activity, and complete historical climate exposure. Those are not minor footnotes: they can reverse an investment thesis or explain why headline growth does not reach households.
Each signal is translated into consequences for money, work, daily life and future opportunity instead of being left as a number.
Can the economy create more income?
Growth of 3.1% suggests expansion, but not every household or industry will participate equally.
Can people keep their purchasing power?
Comparable inflation is missing. Comparable unemployment is missing, so the link between growth and households is incomplete.
How easily can the world move this country?
Trade equals 2.4% of GDP, suggesting domestic demand has more weight while imports and exports still matter.
Where the broad opportunity may sit
Comparable mineral-rent exposure is missing. Foreign direct-investment data is missing.
The four signals most likely to change the story
If prices outpace wages while joblessness rises, household stress can spread into credit, politics and consumer demand.
Export orders, import costs and capital flows can change growth and currency pressure faster than annual statistics.
Access without reliability, affordability or capacity can turn strong demand into inflation and stalled projects.
Food security and assistance coverage show whether headline success is felt at home; wages, housing costs and benefit adequacy remain important gaps.
Where the evidence says this country may be heading
These are model inferences with explicit horizons and reversal conditions. They are not observed facts, promises, or sovereign ratings.
- Withheld because required current evidence is missing or stale: inflation is from 2022 (4 years old; maximum 2).
WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITA major demand, commodity, currency or policy shock could reverse the current baseline.
- Withheld because required current evidence is missing or stale: inflation is from 2022 (4 years old; maximum 2); unemployment is from 2022 (4 years old; maximum 2).
WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITWages, housing, utilities and benefit adequacy are not yet normalized and could materially change the conclusion.
- Withheld because required current evidence is missing or stale: unemployment is from 2022 (4 years old; maximum 2).
WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITA hiring, wage or hours-worked release could change this direction before headline unemployment moves.
- Current rural electricity access is 54.2%.
- Current basic sanitation access is 65.7%.
- Current growth is 3.1%.
WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITProject finance, execution delays, outages or fiscal pressure could slow improvement.
- Withheld because required current evidence is missing or stale: internet is from 2017 (9 years old; maximum 3).
WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITAffordability, censorship, weak power reliability or capital shortages could reverse digital gains.
- Current life expectancy is 66.5 years.
- Current under-five mortality is 61.6 per 1,000.
- Hospital capacity and workforce data are still missing.
WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITAn outbreak, conflict, funding cut or care-capacity shock could change the outlook.
- Withheld because required current evidence is missing or stale: renewableEnergy is from 2021 (5 years old; maximum 4).
WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITPolicy changes, grid constraints, climate disasters or fossil-fuel investment could change the transition path.
- Grid and essential infrastructure
- Economic growth alongside incomplete electricity access can create long-duration infrastructure demand, with financing and execution risk.
- Foreign direct investment is No recent reading of GDP.
WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITValuation, currency, sanctions, ownership rules, liquidity and legal access can outweigh the macro theme.
- Comparable current politics, election, protest, conflict and security feeds are not yet normalized.
- No political direction is inferred from GDP or market data.
- The missing rating is deliberate.
WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITA verified political and security source stack is required before this category can receive a direction.
How an investor could research exposure to Sudan
Economic outlook, investability and market access are separate. A strong economy can still be expensive, illiquid or legally difficult to access.
No simple broad-market vehicle verified
Research the local exchange, broad index, foreign-ownership rules, custody, settlement and liquidity. WorldPredicta will not invent a ticker.
Requires instrument-level verification
Sovereign bonds, hard-currency debt and foreign exchange can create exposure, but minimum sizes, withholding tax, duration, convertibility and broker access are not yet normalized here.
Grid and essential infrastructure
Economic growth alongside incomplete electricity access can create long-duration infrastructure demand, with financing and execution risk. Licensing, local partners, ownership limits, labor rules and repatriation must be checked with official investment and regulatory bodies.
Suppliers, customers and regional funds
Companies or funds outside Sudan may receive revenue from its demand, trade or resource cycle. Revenue geography and valuation still need company-level research.
No pathway verified yet
Title, residency, financing, tax, disclosure, exit liquidity and foreign-buyer rules vary sharply. This path stays unranked until official and transaction-level evidence is available.
Exchange-rate moves can erase local returns. Hedging cost and convertibility are not yet scored.
Foreign ownership, licensing, taxation, custody and capital-repatriation rules require current local verification.
A quoted asset may still be difficult or expensive to enter and exit. Volume and market depth are not yet normalized.
No live sanctions clearance has been performed. Check the current rules for every investor, security, bank and counterparty.
Educational research only. This is not personalized investment, tax or legal advice, a recommendation to trade, or a promise of returns.
54.2% of the rural population has electricity and 65.7% of people use at least basic sanitation. Reliability still needs local feeds.
Reliable power and basic services determine whether factories, hospitals and homes can function.
Households, industry, utilities and project investors.
Outages, reserve margins, grid investment and access gaps.
Life expectancy is 66.5 years and under-five mortality is 61.6 per 1,000 births.
Health affects labor productivity, household costs and resilience to shocks.
Families, employers, hospitals and public budgets.
Life expectancy, preventable disease, staffing, capacity and medicine supply.
Current imports plus exports equal 2.4% of GDP. A high grade means globally connected—not automatically safer.
Trade connects a country to global demand while exposing it to foreign slowdowns and route disruptions.
Exporters, importers, manufacturers and consumers.
Export orders, import costs, shipping lanes, currencies and trade policy.
Air carriers moved 911.1K passengers, or about 18 per 1,000 residents. Live aircraft and sea-lane pressure add separate current context on the map.
Movement is the circulation system of the economy; bottlenecks become shortages and higher prices.
Travelers, exporters, retailers, factories and logistics workers.
Flights, ports, rail volumes, vessel queues, freight rates and delays.
Current-enough annual PM2.5 exposure is 37.6 μg/m³ and renewables provide No recent reading of final energy use. Live heat and disasters add separate current context.
Heat, water and disaster exposure can damage crops, grids, health, housing and insurance at once.
Farmers, coastal communities, utilities, insurers and food consumers.
Heat anomalies, rainfall, reservoirs, crop conditions, fires and disaster losses.