WORLD PREDICTA
PERMANENT COUNTRY REPORTWP-SYR · SYR
SOVEREIGN COUNTRY

Syria

Official name: Syrian Arab Republic

WORLD PREDICTA IDWP-SYR
ISO CODESSY · SYR
REGIONMiddle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan
CAPITALDamascus
REGISTRY VERIFIEDJul 31, 2026

Classification and identifiers are registry facts. Direction ratings below are model inferences. Missing fields stay visibly unverified.

01Quick snapshot

Direction, grade, opportunity, risk and coverage in roughly 30 seconds.

02Standard report

Plain-English economy, household, global role and evidence gaps.

03Full intelligence

Expandable category grades, source years, direction model and investment pathways.

WHOLE-COUNTRY INTELLIGENCE

One report card. Every country. No hidden grades.

Choose an economy or territory to see its evidence, household conditions and investable themes. An em dash means the evidence is still being built—never that missing data equals zero.

217WORLD BANK PROFILES218 WorldPredicta entities including Holy See
OFFICIAL DATA RESPONDING25/25 indicator series returned; each observation is age-checked
SYR · Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & PakistanLimited coverage now

Syria

Capital: Damascus. Low income. Population 25.6M; 72.1% urban.

CURRENT DATA COVERAGE48%
80% historical coverage. Historical only: growth -0.2 (2022); gdpPerCapita 1,056.8 (2022); inflation 13.4 (2019); internet 33.8 (2018); plus 4 more. These readings remain visible but do not affect current grades or directions.
COUNTRY RESILIENCEWithheld: current core evidence incomplete
OPPORTUNITY ALIGNMENTWithheld: current core evidence incomplete
THE COUNTRY BRIEF

Syria: what matters, why it matters, and what could change

48% current · 80% historical coverage
BOTTOM LINE

With 25.6M people, national outcomes may depend more on specialization, productivity and external demand than sheer scale. WorldPredicta withholds the current resilience grade because required recent evidence is missing or stale. Historical coverage is 80%, while 48% is current enough to enter the model.

CURRENT COUNTRY SIGNALS

What is being reported about Syria now

Reporting is context, not proof. Each item keeps its source, date and corroboration count.

Checking the latest direct-source newsroom…
01 · ECONOMIC ENGINE

Is the economy creating durable income?

No recent comparable growth reading was returned. Comparable inflation is missing. Unemployment of 13.6% means national output is not translating into enough work for a large part of the labor force. GDP per person is No recent reading; that average does not show inequality or regional differences.

02 · PEOPLE + DAILY LIFE

Is national progress reaching households?

Internet access is not available in the comparable file. 61.6% of the rural population has electricity access; reliability and affordability still matter beyond connection alone. Life expectancy is 72.6 years, a broad outcome influenced by income, care access, safety and public capacity. Basic sanitation reaches 95.6% of people, secondary enrollment is 38.7%, severe food insecurity is No recent reading, and social-protection programs reach No recent reading. Different survey years mean these are structural conditions, not a real-time pulse. Urbanization is 72.1%. These indicators describe access and outcomes, but not housing costs, wages or service quality.

03 · GLOBAL ROLE

How does the outside world affect this country?

Trade exposure is missing. Comparable mineral-rent exposure is missing. Foreign direct-investment data is missing. No investment theme is assigned because only 1 of 5 required structural inputs are current enough to use. Historical observations remain visible below but cannot become a present-day thesis.

04 · WHAT WE STILL DO NOT KNOW

The blind spots that could change the story

The comparable file still lacks country-normalized wages, hours, housing costs, benefit adequacy, education quality, current politics, security, corruption, cultural momentum, rail and road activity, and complete historical climate exposure. Those are not minor footnotes: they can reverse an investment thesis or explain why headline growth does not reach households.

WHAT THIS COULD MEAN FOR YOU

Each signal is translated into consequences for money, work, daily life and future opportunity instead of being left as a number.

ECONOMIC ENGINENo recent reading

Can the economy create more income?

No recent comparable growth reading was returned.

HOUSEHOLD PRESSURENo recent reading

Can people keep their purchasing power?

Comparable inflation is missing. Unemployment of 13.6% means national output is not translating into enough work for a large part of the labor force.

GLOBAL EXPOSURENo recent reading

How easily can the world move this country?

Trade exposure is missing.

INVESTMENT THEMEInsufficient current evidence

Where the broad opportunity may sit

Comparable mineral-rent exposure is missing. Foreign direct-investment data is missing.

WHAT TO WATCH NEXT

The four signals most likely to change the story

PRICES VS. PAYNo recent reading inflation · 13.6% unemployment

If prices outpace wages while joblessness rises, household stress can spread into credit, politics and consumer demand.

EXTERNAL DEMANDNo recent reading trade · No recent reading FDI

Export orders, import costs and capital flows can change growth and currency pressure faster than annual statistics.

PHYSICAL CAPACITY61.6% rural power · No recent reading online

Access without reliability, affordability or capacity can turn strong demand into inflation and stalled projects.

THE HUMAN FILENo recent reading food insecurity · No recent reading protected

Food security and assistance coverage show whether headline success is felt at home; wages, housing costs and benefit adequacy remain important gaps.

COUNTRY DIRECTION ENGINE · BASELINE RELEASE

Where the evidence says this country may be heading

These are model inferences with explicit horizons and reversal conditions. They are not observed facts, promises, or sovereign ratings.

LOW OVERALL CONFIDENCE
EconomicNext 12 months
Insufficient evidenceLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now
  • Withheld because required current evidence is missing or stale: growth is from 2022 (4 years old; maximum 2); inflation is from 2019 (7 years old; maximum 2).

WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITA major demand, commodity, currency or policy shock could reverse the current baseline.

Household financesNext 12 months
Insufficient evidenceLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now
  • Withheld because required current evidence is missing or stale: inflation is from 2019 (7 years old; maximum 2).

WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITWages, housing, utilities and benefit adequacy are not yet normalized and could materially change the conclusion.

EmploymentNext 12 months
WeakeningLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now
  • Current unemployment is 13.6%.
  • Current labor-force participation is 36.9%.
  • Current youth outside work or education is No recent reading.

WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITA hiring, wage or hours-worked release could change this direction before headline unemployment moves.

InfrastructureNext 3 years
Insufficient evidenceLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now
  • Withheld because required current evidence is missing or stale: growth is from 2022 (4 years old; maximum 2).

WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITProject finance, execution delays, outages or fiscal pressure could slow improvement.

TechnologyNext 3 years
Insufficient evidenceLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now
  • Withheld because required current evidence is missing or stale: internet is from 2018 (8 years old; maximum 3).

WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITAffordability, censorship, weak power reliability or capital shortages could reverse digital gains.

HealthNext 3 years
MixedLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now
  • Current life expectancy is 72.6 years.
  • Current under-five mortality is 18.4 per 1,000.
  • Hospital capacity and workforce data are still missing.

WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITAn outbreak, conflict, funding cut or care-capacity shock could change the outlook.

Climate transitionNext 5 to 10 years
Insufficient evidenceLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now
  • Withheld because required current evidence is missing or stale: renewableEnergy is from 2021 (5 years old; maximum 4).

WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITPolicy changes, grid constraints, climate disasters or fossil-fuel investment could change the transition path.

InvestmentNext 3 years
Insufficient evidenceLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now
  • Insufficient current evidence
  • No investment theme is assigned because only 1 of 5 required structural inputs are current enough to use. Historical observations remain visible below but cannot become a present-day thesis.
  • Foreign direct investment is No recent reading of GDP.

WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITValuation, currency, sanctions, ownership rules, liquidity and legal access can outweigh the macro theme.

Political + securityNext 3 months
Insufficient evidenceLow confidence · baseline; movement history begins now
  • Comparable current politics, election, protest, conflict and security feeds are not yet normalized.
  • No political direction is inferred from GDP or market data.
  • The missing rating is deliberate.

WHAT WOULD REVERSE ITA verified political and security source stack is required before this category can receive a direction.

INVESTMENT ACCESS MAP

How an investor could research exposure to Syria

Economic outlook, investability and market access are separate. A strong economy can still be expensive, illiquid or legally difficult to access.

ECONOMIC OUTLOOKInsufficient evidence12-month model inference
INVESTABILITYcoverage + macro + access screen
CURRENT-ENOUGH GROWTHNo recent readingolder observations are excluded from this screen
MARKET ACCESSHighfrom United States
POLITICAL RISKNot yet ratedcurrent evidence stack incomplete
CONFIDENCELow48% current · 80% historical
01 · PUBLIC MARKETS

No simple broad-market vehicle verified

Research the local exchange, broad index, foreign-ownership rules, custody, settlement and liquidity. WorldPredicta will not invent a ticker.

02 · BONDS + CURRENCY

Requires instrument-level verification

Sovereign bonds, hard-currency debt and foreign exchange can create exposure, but minimum sizes, withholding tax, duration, convertibility and broker access are not yet normalized here.

03 · DIRECT BUSINESS

Insufficient current evidence

No investment theme is assigned because only 1 of 5 required structural inputs are current enough to use. Historical observations remain visible below but cannot become a present-day thesis. Licensing, local partners, ownership limits, labor rules and repatriation must be checked with official investment and regulatory bodies.

04 · INDIRECT EXPOSURE

Suppliers, customers and regional funds

Companies or funds outside Syria may receive revenue from its demand, trade or resource cycle. Revenue geography and valuation still need company-level research.

05 · PRIVATE MARKETS + PROPERTY

No pathway verified yet

Title, residency, financing, tax, disclosure, exit liquidity and foreign-buyer rules vary sharply. This path stays unranked until official and transaction-level evidence is available.

CURRENCY

Exchange-rate moves can erase local returns. Hedging cost and convertibility are not yet scored.

LAW + OWNERSHIP

Foreign ownership, licensing, taxation, custody and capital-repatriation rules require current local verification.

LIQUIDITY

A quoted asset may still be difficult or expensive to enter and exit. Volume and market depth are not yet normalized.

SANCTIONS

No live sanctions clearance has been performed. Check the current rules for every investor, security, bank and counterparty.

Educational research only. This is not personalized investment, tax or legal advice, a recommendation to trade, or a promise of returns.

Work & jobspartial
F

Current unemployment is 13.6%, labor-force participation is 36.9%, and No recent reading of young people are outside work, education or training.

WHY IT MATTERS

Employment is the bridge between national growth and household security.

WHO FEELS IT

Workers, young people, consumers and benefit systems.

WATCH NEXT

Hiring, hours worked, wage growth, layoffs and labor-force participation.

Unemployment · participation · youth NEET · source years 2025 current
Basic infrastructurelive
B

61.6% of the rural population has electricity and 95.6% of people use at least basic sanitation. Reliability still needs local feeds.

WHY IT MATTERS

Reliable power and basic services determine whether factories, hospitals and homes can function.

WHO FEELS IT

Households, industry, utilities and project investors.

WATCH NEXT

Outages, reserve margins, grid investment and access gaps.

Rural electricity · basic sanitation · source years 2024 current
Population healthlive
C

Life expectancy is 72.6 years and under-five mortality is 18.4 per 1,000 births.

WHY IT MATTERS

Health affects labor productivity, household costs and resilience to shocks.

WHO FEELS IT

Families, employers, hospitals and public budgets.

WATCH NEXT

Life expectancy, preventable disease, staffing, capacity and medicine supply.

Life expectancy · child survival · source years 2024 current
Education accesslive
F

Gross secondary-school enrollment is 38.7%. This measures access, not learning quality or affordability.

WHY IT MATTERS

Education expands earning power, productivity and a country's ability to adopt new technology.

WHO FEELS IT

Students, families, employers and future taxpayers.

WATCH NEXT

Enrollment, completion, learning outcomes, affordability and skills demand.

Secondary enrollment · source years 2024 current
Food & poverty securitypartial
D

Current severe food insecurity is No recent reading; national poverty is No recent reading and extreme poverty is 18.0%.

WHY IT MATTERS

Food insecurity is one of the fastest ways economic and climate stress reaches daily life.

WHO FEELS IT

Children, low-income households, farmers and public budgets.

WATCH NEXT

Food prices, severe insecurity, crop conditions, imports and assistance demand.

Food insecurity · national poverty · $3/day poverty · source years 2022 current
Transport activitylive
D

Air carriers moved 610.7K passengers, or about 24 per 1,000 residents. Live aircraft and sea-lane pressure add separate current context on the map.

WHY IT MATTERS

Movement is the circulation system of the economy; bottlenecks become shortages and higher prices.

WHO FEELS IT

Travelers, exporters, retailers, factories and logistics workers.

WATCH NEXT

Flights, ports, rail volumes, vessel queues, freight rates and delays.

Air passengers per resident · live movement · source years 2023 current, 2025 current
GRADE RULEEvery indicator has a declared maximum age. Historical values stay visible with their year, but only current-enough observations can enter grades, directions or outlooks. Missing or stale core evidence produces an em dash or “Insufficient evidence,” never a guessed score.World Bank API